Farmers' Almanac Predicts Dry Start, Wet Finish for Texas Fall

With what's shaping up to be one of the hottest summers on record, it's no surprise many Texans are already longing for relief.

Just last month, cities along the Texas-Mexico border recorded the hottest temperatures on the planet, reaching 113 degrees as a heat dome sent temperatures soaring.

If the Farmers' Almanac is right, that relief may come gradually once fall arrives — with a dry and “fair” start to the season, ending on a wetter note.

The almanac, which has been predicting weather (with varying accuracy) since 1818, recently released its extended weather forecast for the upcoming fall, titled "Flirty, Flurry Fall."

Here's what the Farmers' Almanac has predicted for this summer.

What is the Farmers' Almanac predicting for New York's upcoming summer forecast?

"As summer fades and the crispness of autumn settles in, Fall 2025 is shaping up to be a season of contrasts across the United States," the almanac states. "From early chills in the North to lingering warmth in the South, and from stormy skies to tranquil stretches, this fall will keep us on our toes."

The almanac’s 200-year-old formula — based on mathematical and astronomical patterns — predicts a “fair, dry start” to fall with a “wet finish” in the South Central, which includes Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Arkansas and Louisiana.

Throughout the season, the coldest conditions are expected to settle over the North Central states and the interior Northeast, especially from late October into November. In contrast, the Southeast and Southwest are forecast to experience milder, more stable weather — though not without the occasional storm.

The wettest regions this fall will likely include the Great Lakes, Northeast, and parts of the Southeast, while the driest conditions are expected across the Southwest and portions of the West Coast, according to the almanac.

Already counting down to spooky season? The almanac forecasts “wet, then clearing skies” from Oct. 28–31 — so you might want to keep an umbrella or raincoat handy this Halloween, just in case.

When do temperatures normally cool down in Texas?

Across most of Texas, temperatures finally begin to cool in October, with average highs finally dipping below the triple-digit mark.

Here’s a look at the earliest, latest and average last 100-degree day recorded across the state since 1940, according to data from the National Weather Service.

Austin

• Earliest: June 13 (1942)
• Latest: Oct. 13 (2024)
• Average: Aug. 24

Amarillo

• Earliest: June 14 (2004)
• Latest: Sept. 19 (2024)
• Average: Aug. 5

Dallas-Fort Worth

• Earliest: July 13 (2004)
• Latest: Oct. 3 (1951)
• Average: Aug. 29

El Paso

• Earliest: June 18 (1941)
• Latest: Sept. 27 (2024)
• Average: Aug. 11

Houston

• Earliest: June 13 (2006)
• Latest: Sept. 27 (2005)
• Average: Aug. 15

Lubbock

• Earliest: May 11 (1962)
• Latest: Oct. 3 (2000)
• Average: Aug. 2

Midland-Odessa

• Earliest: June 9 (1988)
• Latest: Oct. 8 (1979)
• Average: Aug. 21

San Antonio

• Earliest: July 4 (1970)
• Latest: Oct. 4 (2023)
• Average: Aug. 26

Tyler

• Earliest: July 12 (1955)
• Latest: Sept. 26 (2005)
• Average: Aug. 21

Waco

• Earliest: July 22 (1971)
• Latest: Oct. 15 (2024)
• Average: Aug. 31

Wichita Falls

• Earliest: June 27 (1950)
• Latest: Oct. 17 (1972)
• Average: Sept. 5