opinion

Firefly Aerospace IPO: Because Losing $231 Million Was Just the Warm-Up

Firefly Aerospace's IPO proves that in Austin, even rockets can't escape the gravitational pull of *disruptive* financial losses.

Chad Evans

By Chad Evans

Published July 29, 2025 at 2:44pm


Alright, folks, buckle up because we’ve got another disruptive Austin tech company ready to blast off—literally. Firefly Aerospace, the Cedar Park-based rocket makers who somehow convinced investors that losing $231 million last year was just a strategic warm-up, are now aiming for the stars (and your 401(k)). With a fresh IPO valuing them at a cool $5.5 billion, Firefly is proving that in the modern economy, the only thing more volatile than their rockets is their financials.

Let’s break this down: They’re offering shares at $35 to $39 a pop, which, for context, is roughly the same price as a single avocado toast at an Austin brunch spot. But hey, why spend your money on something as pedestrian as food when you could invest in a company that burns cash faster than their Alpha rocket burns fuel? Speaking of which, the FAA grounded that bad boy after a minor oopsie (read: catastrophic failure), but don’t worry—CEO Jason Kim assures us they’ve got several other successes coming. Because nothing says trust us like a track record of losing money and exploding hardware.

And let’s talk about that backlog of $1.12 billion in future revenue. That’s not revenue, folks. That’s hopes and dreams scribbled on napkins during a VC happy hour. But hey, if you’re into betting on companies that lose $60 million in a single quarter while promising to make space travel affordable, then FLY is the stock for you. Just remember: When this thing inevitably crashes, at least it’ll do so in low Earth orbit—far, far away from your portfolio.

In conclusion, Firefly Aerospace is either the next SpaceX or the next Theranos. Place your bets, degenerates. The rocket’s lit, and the bagholders are loading up.