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Viral 1996 ad predicts today's prices. True or false?

Financial planners predict future living costs based on past price increases.

Published May 7, 2024 at 5:51pm by Sara Chernikoff


1996 Ad Predicts High Living Costs

An ad from 1996 is circulating online for its eerily accurate prediction of today's economic climate. Placed by TIAA and CREF, the ad states, "In thirty years a burger & fries could cost $16, a vacation $12,500, and a basic car $65,000. You’ll eat in. You won’t drive. And you won’t go anywhere."

Reddit users debate the accuracy: https://www.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/1c5h6i3/magazine_advertisement_from_1996_nearly_30_years/

Predicting Costs

Economists and financial planners use past data to predict future costs. While exact predictions are difficult, the ad sparks reflection on rising prices:

  • Burgers: Five Guys' prices vary from $12.99 in Columbus, OH, to $14.39 in LA.
  • Cars: The average cost is above $48,000, but a new Honda Civic starts at $23,950. Consumer Reports
  • Vacations: Bankrate reports the average one-week US vacation for one person is $1,984. Bankrate

Inflation

Inflation, a rise in prices, is caused by an excess of spending over production. A healthy economy exhibits small inflation, targeting a 2% annual rate. Americans now spend 11.3% of disposable income on food, comparable to the 1980s. U.S. Department of Agriculture

The ad's prediction has partially come true, with rising costs impacting Americans' spending and lifestyle choices. Retirement planning considers these future cost fluctuations.

Read more: Viral ad from 1996 predicts $16 burger and $65k 'basic car': How accurate is it?