Bettors Evenly Split on Presidential Election 75 Days Out

Bettors are nearly evenly divided in their picks for the presidential election just 75 days away, marking a stark contrast to the same point in the last two elections.

Vice President Kamala Harris holds a slim lead over former President Donald Trump at U.K. bookmaker Betfair Exchange, with odds at -102. In comparison, Hillary Clinton's odds stood at -323 at the 75-day mark in 2016, although she ultimately lost the election.

The betting pot has already surpassed the 2016 election but falls slightly below the 2020 mark:

• 2016: $38 million
• 2020: $79 million
• 2024: $70.5 million

Betting Odds 75 Days from Election Day

2024

• Harris: -102
• Trump: +110

2020

• Biden: -132
• Trump: +144

2016

• Clinton: -323
• Trump: +370

Past Accuracy of Election Odds

The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to The Conversation, a nonprofit news organization. The upsets occurred in 1948, when Harry Truman (D) defied eight-to-one odds to defeat Thomas Dewey (R), and in 2016.

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