news
"Unbelievable: Even Bookies Know Harris is Too Good for Trump, Still Not as 'Electable' as Grandpa Biden or Hillary"
Oh, brilliant! The "ultimate outsider" Trump is nipping at Harris' heels—clearly, the odds are as stable as his spray tan.
Published August 22, 2024 at 4:46pm by James Powel
Buckle Up, Folks! The Political Betting Circus is Back in Town
In a plot twist that's sure to make your head spin, betters are almost evenly split on their picks for the presidential election, just 75 days out. Yeah, you heard right—it's a literal (and figurative) coin toss at this point.
Our gal Vice President Kamala Harris is hanging on to the narrowest lead over you-know-who, sitting pretty at -102 at Betfair Exchange. Remember when Hillary Clinton had a commanding lead of -323 at this point? Good times, good times.
And the pot? It's already bigger than 2016 but just shy of 2020's mark. Here's the tea:
- 2016: $38 million
- 2020: $79 million
- 2024: $70.5 million
Betting Odds: 75 Days Out
2024
- Harris: -102 (Because, you know, glass ceilings)
- Trump: +110 ( insert eye-roll emoji)
2020
- Biden: -132 (Sleepy Joe, my foot!)
- Trump: +144 (No comment.)
2016
- Clinton: -323 (We all know how that turned out.)
- Trump: +370 (Again, no comment.)
But How Accurate Are These Odds, Anyway?
Well, the betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866. So, there's that.
The upsets? 1948, when Harry Truman defied eight-to-one odds to kick Thomas Dewey to the curb, and, of course, 2016.
Want to Watch the DNC Train Wreck in Real Time?
USA TODAY's got you covered with livestreams on YouTube each night, Monday through Thursday. Grab your popcorn, folks! It's gonna be a wild ride.
Read more: 75 days to election: Betting odds favor Harris over Trump but not to Biden, Clinton levels